The Battle for Prime Ministership

With the oath of office administered to the Vice President a second time and he has been prudent enough to take the oath in his mother tongue as well as in Nepali, the atmosphere in Kathmandu seemed to have sobered down at the beginning of the month, but this was not to be for it is evident that the issue was possibly resolved as the Nepali President was due to visit India and had to have an incumbent in his absence and therefore the decision was hastened up.

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Apprehension of Afghan Taliban Leadership

The dynamics of Pakistan’s relations with the Afghanistan Taliban is set to change as on 17 February it confirmed for the first time that it has the Afghan Taliban's No. 2 leader, Mullah Barader in custody. Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar was arrested around 10 days ago in a joint operation by CIA and Pakistani security forces in Karachi claimed reports.

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India’s Role in Afghanistan – A Review

The Indian Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh assumed the unusual role of a counsel on Afghanistan to President Barack Obama during his visit to the United States. He also solicited European leaders as the Swedish premier Fredrik Reinfeldt with Sweden leading the European Union presidency. The Indian Prime Minister advocated firm long term commitment with a stark warning of a catastrophe in case of withdrawal in an interview with Newsweek, "A victory for the Taliban in Afghanistan would have catastrophic consequences for the world, particularly for South Asia, for Central Asia, for the Middle East. Religious fundamentalism in the '80s was used to defeat the Soviet Union. If this same group of people that defeated the Soviet Union now defeats the other major power (America), this would embolden them in a manner which could have catastrophic consequences for the world at large."

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India: Leveraging Afghan Policy

The third major attack in Kabul targeting Indians on 26 February brought into sharp focus India’s Afghan policy. Six Indians were killed in the attack on foreigners living in a hotel complex. What is evident is inability of New Delhi to leverage the Afghan policy to advantage despite the sacrifice of many lives and millions of dollars worth aid and harvesting tremendous goodwill with the Afghan people.

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Naxals Exploiting the Perception Space

The headless body of Sanjoy Ghosh, a 23-year old West Bengal state armed police jawan who had been kidnapped during an operation was found indicating cold blooded killing. This is the second such killing after that of Francis Induwar. The brutal approach recently adopted by the Maoists is a new form of violence that was not seen in the area earlier.

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Naxal Strikes: Strategy Exploits Police Debility

Even as the Central Government was making grandiose schemes for launching coordinated operations in Maoist affected Central India, the guerrillas launched two major attacks during February killing scores and quickly followed it up by an offer of cease fire putting the Ministry of Home Affairs in a quandary. This was perhaps a direct response of the guerrillas to the Union Home Minister Mr P Chidambaram who had been galvanizing state governments as well as central security forces into action through out the month and had called the Maoists to abjure violence and come for talks.

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The Maoists Attempt to Gain Initiative: Call for Cease Fire

Almost immediately after the attack in Silda and Jamui, the Maoists were operationalising a strategy of talks with the government. Gopinathji alias Durga Hembram, wanted talks at the earliest while Kishenji the military commander was opposing it in a central committee meeting of 30 of the 36 member including those from Bihar, Jharkhand and Orissa in the Kanai-shol hill forest area as per media reports.

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